Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.025203 0.027106 0.029091 0.031320 0.033755 0.036337 0.039287
2025-01-26 0.022087 0.024795 0.027769 0.031286 0.035347 0.039903 0.045425
2025-02-02 0.020223 0.023448 0.027129 0.031661 0.037125 0.043536 0.051685
2025-02-09 0.018494 0.021996 0.026116 0.031357 0.037898 0.045861 0.056393
2025-02-16 0.017197 0.020899 0.025369 0.031216 0.038738 0.048195 0.061152
2025-02-23 0.016074 0.019903 0.024631 0.030968 0.039343 0.050179 0.065506
2025-03-02 0.015212 0.019156 0.024129 0.030943 0.040175 0.052445 0.070325
2025-03-09 0.014298 0.018274 0.023377 0.030511 0.040391 0.053843 0.073985
2025-03-16 0.013432 0.017397 0.022570 0.029932 0.040335 0.054816 0.077050
2025-03-23 0.012766 0.016745 0.022018 0.029652 0.040652 0.056296 0.080914
2025-03-30 0.012167 0.016148 0.021502 0.029379 0.040939 0.057719 0.084754
2025-04-06 0.011498 0.015421 0.020763 0.028738 0.040635 0.058224 0.087175
2025-04-13 0.011169 0.015155 0.020664 0.029021 0.041724 0.060904 0.093258
2025-04-20 0.010761 0.014758 0.020355 0.028974 0.042304 0.062825 0.098248
2025-04-27 0.010497 0.014554 0.020311 0.029313 0.043485 0.065747 0.105112
2025-05-04 0.010078 0.014102 0.019880 0.029034 0.043668 0.067065 0.109316
2025-05-11 0.009728 0.013738 0.019560 0.028906 0.044075 0.068757 0.114281
2025-05-18 0.009377 0.013355 0.019193 0.028679 0.044301 0.070148 0.118794
2025-05-25 0.009099 0.013071 0.018963 0.028656 0.044854 0.072115 0.124497
2025-06-01 0.008747 0.012660 0.018518 0.028262 0.044757 0.072938 0.128103
2025-06-08 0.008383 0.012216 0.018006 0.027733 0.044397 0.073270 0.130777
2025-06-15 0.008104 0.011894 0.017671 0.027478 0.044491 0.074409 0.135101
2025-06-22 0.007841 0.011588 0.017348 0.027228 0.044578 0.075531 0.139468